Risk
Invalidation
The scenario stays conditional until the price that ends it is already written.
A scenario without invalidation is unfinished. Invalidation is the print that means the auction did not do what the read required.
For a failed-auction read, that is acceptance back through the swept low — the sweep itself was only the liquidity event. For an extension that depends on short gamma, that is acceptance back through the flip, and only if that expiry's positioning still supports the hedge. For a spot-led read, that is spot CVD rolling over while price cannot hold the level. Leadership was relative participation, not ownership.
The review is what was expected, what executed, and whether invalidation printed.
Nothing here is a signal. The level locates. Order flow is the evidence. The invalidation ends the idea.
